Win Rate
83.3%
20 wins · 4 losses · 24 trades
Total Net P&L
₹44,204
Across 3 completed cycles
Profit Factor
4.12×
Gross wins ÷ gross losses
Expectancy / Trade
₹1,842
Probability-weighted avg return
Avg Hold Period
22.5d
Per completed trade
Open Positions — Cycle 4
Performance Analytics
Avg Winning Trade
+₹2,918
+2.72% avg return on winners
Avg Losing Trade
−₹3,538
−3.53% avg return on losers
Payoff Ratio
0.82×
Avg win ÷ avg loss magnitude
Sharpe-like Ratio
0.52
Return per unit of volatility
Best Single Trade
+₹6,927
ONGC · Cycle 2 · +6.54%
Worst Single Trade
−₹6,960
TCS · Cycle 1 · −6.91%
Total Trades
24
Completed · 3 cycles
Brokerage Drag
~0.86%
ICICIDirect · avg per trade
Cycle Breakdown
Cycle 1
Closed
Trades11
Win Rate81.8% (9/11)
Net P&L+₹14,534
Corpus deployed₹11,06,520
Net return+1.31%
PeriodJan 2026
Cycle 2
Closed
Trades10
Win Rate90.0% (9/10)
Net P&L+₹27,382
Corpus deployed₹16,56,504
Net return+1.65%
PeriodMar 2026
Cycle 3
Closed
Trades3
Win Rate66.7% (2/3)
Net P&L+₹2,289
Corpus deployed₹7,10,230
Net return+0.32%
PeriodApr 2026
Win Distribution
Loss Distribution
Key Insight
Both large losses (TCS −₹6,960 and Wipro −₹5,550) were IT sector stocks in Cycle 1. Strategy now applies an IT sector blackout during Nifty IT downtrends.
Full Trade Log
Strategy Rules
Entry Rules
Pullback: Stock down 8–15% from recent high
Quality: NSE large-cap stocks only
Sector: IT blackout during Nifty IT downtrend
Banking: Max 2 private bank positions per cycle
Macro: Macro check before each cycle entry
Re-entry: New price ≥3% below prior exit
Exit Rules
Target: +8% gross → sell all
Stop loss: −5% gross → sell all
Time stop: 14 days (equity) / 2–3 months (special)
Hard rule: Time stop is non-negotiable
No averaging: Never add to a losing position
Partial exit: Not permitted — all-or-nothing
Execution
Broker: ICICIDirect
Corpus: ~₹5L per cycle
Per position: ₹1L (max)
Brokerage: ~0.35% per leg + STT + TDS
Data: ICICIDirect trade reports (ground truth)
Signal: MR Engine quantitative scan